The old saying that "any team can win on a given Sunday" definitely holds true in the NFL, in which parity reigns supreme and also watered down talent help it become hard for most teams to field a competitive group on a weekly basis around the course of a season. A personal injury to a key player can usually have a profound impact on a team's ability to win and due to expansion, depth isn't exactly what it once was. And that is exactly why the money line bet is so appealing.
A quick summary for those unfamiliar with how it works. Each week, the sportsbook creates NFL game odds to be able to attract an even amount of betting on both sides of any match-up. They create their money (10%) on what is called the rake.
Theoretically, sportsbooks do not worry about the end result of a game, even though for those of you who bet on the Steelers (-5.5) last season versus the Chargers and also saw a game winning TD returned by S Troy Palumalu since the game expired reversed, thus negating a seven point victory and also placing the final at 11-10, you may think otherwise, but this is just how it is intended to be. And by the way, sportsbooks made a killing on that end result. However back to the money line, where the point spread makes no difference; you are taking a team, possibly the favored or perhaps underdog, and all that matters would be the final score.
Now if you take a favorite who is (-325), you have got to gamble $325 in order to earn $100. Conversely, the underdog in the scenario would pay out $325 for every $100 you place down. Within the previous, while the chances are significantly on your side, the return is considerably less compared to the cost of the particular bet. The second is where the actual possibilities lies.
So what is the most effective technique when choosing the underdog on money line? All the same aspects as our own point spread edition as well as momentum. Late last season, the Falcons headed straight into San Diego as the 4.5 point underdog, +180 on the money line. They were our money line bet of this week.
Here is the factors we utilized to choose them for our pick:
Teams: the particular Chargers couldn't get free from their very own way over the very first three quarters of the season; the defense was dreadful and the offense couldn't find the appropriate balance to win games. The surprising, surging Falcons, came into town winners of 3 of the previous four games.
Teams record on Road/Home: The particular Falcons were Two and 3 on the move (7-4 overall) while your Chargers were just Three and two at home ( 4-7 in general).
Date: The overall game was took part in the 13th week of year, when teams start to make their playoff push, so a lot was on the line for teams.
Weather: The weather was not an issue in San Diego. It is usually mild in November and December in addition to both teams are used to playing in good weather.
Momentum: The Falcons had earned 5 of the previous seven games and also were picking up steam while the Chargers, heading within the opposite direction, had lost five of their previous 7 competitions, and also three in a row.
Consensus: The final score was 22-16, although the 6 point margin of victory was not indicative of how uneven the affair actually was. Atlanta beat them in every facet of the overall game and took control from the first quarter on, making us winners of our money line bet.
In the event you adhere to this plan during the period of the season to identify which games you will bet on, you'll probably discover much more times than not that choosing the underdog with all the money line is definitely more attractive compared to taking the points.
A quick summary for those unfamiliar with how it works. Each week, the sportsbook creates NFL game odds to be able to attract an even amount of betting on both sides of any match-up. They create their money (10%) on what is called the rake.
Theoretically, sportsbooks do not worry about the end result of a game, even though for those of you who bet on the Steelers (-5.5) last season versus the Chargers and also saw a game winning TD returned by S Troy Palumalu since the game expired reversed, thus negating a seven point victory and also placing the final at 11-10, you may think otherwise, but this is just how it is intended to be. And by the way, sportsbooks made a killing on that end result. However back to the money line, where the point spread makes no difference; you are taking a team, possibly the favored or perhaps underdog, and all that matters would be the final score.
Now if you take a favorite who is (-325), you have got to gamble $325 in order to earn $100. Conversely, the underdog in the scenario would pay out $325 for every $100 you place down. Within the previous, while the chances are significantly on your side, the return is considerably less compared to the cost of the particular bet. The second is where the actual possibilities lies.
So what is the most effective technique when choosing the underdog on money line? All the same aspects as our own point spread edition as well as momentum. Late last season, the Falcons headed straight into San Diego as the 4.5 point underdog, +180 on the money line. They were our money line bet of this week.
Here is the factors we utilized to choose them for our pick:
Teams: the particular Chargers couldn't get free from their very own way over the very first three quarters of the season; the defense was dreadful and the offense couldn't find the appropriate balance to win games. The surprising, surging Falcons, came into town winners of 3 of the previous four games.
Teams record on Road/Home: The particular Falcons were Two and 3 on the move (7-4 overall) while your Chargers were just Three and two at home ( 4-7 in general).
Date: The overall game was took part in the 13th week of year, when teams start to make their playoff push, so a lot was on the line for teams.
Weather: The weather was not an issue in San Diego. It is usually mild in November and December in addition to both teams are used to playing in good weather.
Momentum: The Falcons had earned 5 of the previous seven games and also were picking up steam while the Chargers, heading within the opposite direction, had lost five of their previous 7 competitions, and also three in a row.
Consensus: The final score was 22-16, although the 6 point margin of victory was not indicative of how uneven the affair actually was. Atlanta beat them in every facet of the overall game and took control from the first quarter on, making us winners of our money line bet.
In the event you adhere to this plan during the period of the season to identify which games you will bet on, you'll probably discover much more times than not that choosing the underdog with all the money line is definitely more attractive compared to taking the points.
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